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It was a different world, yes—but if the movie were made today and the past took place in 1985, the movie could have had bigger differences.The character would be in a time before personal computers, internet, or cell phones—today’s Marty Mc Fly, a teenager born in the late 90s, would be much more out of place in 1985 than the movie’s Marty Mc Fly was in 1955.19th century humanity knew more and had better technology than 15th century humanity, so it’s no surprise that humanity made far more advances in the 19th century than in the 15th century—15th century humanity was no match for 19th century humanity.11 came out in 1985, and “the past” took place in 1955.
This was the same mistake our 1750 guy made when he got someone from 1500 and expected to blow his mind as much as his own was blown going the same distance ahead.
It’s most intuitive for us to think than they’re moving now.
So I wanted to learn as much as I could about it, and once I did that, I wanted to make sure I wrote a post that really explained this whole situation and why it matters so much.
Not shockingly, that became outrageously long, so I broke it into two parts. — Vernor Vinge What does it feel like to stand here?
When we imagine the progress of the next 30 years, we look back to the progress of the previous 30 as an indicator of how much will likely happen.
Technology Apocalypse Or Eden Research Papers
When we think about the extent to which the world will change in the 21st century, we just take the 20th century progress and add it to the year 2000.
If he went back 12,000 years to 24,000 BC and got a guy and brought him to 12,000 BC, he’d show the guy everything and the guy would be like, “Okay what’s your point who cares.” For the 12,000 BC guy to have the same fun, he’d have to go back over 100,000 years and get someone he could show fire and language to for the first time.
In order for someone to be transported into the future and die from the level of shock they’d experience, they have to go enough years ahead that a “die level of progress,” or a Die Progress Unit (DPU) has been achieved.
This pattern—human progress moving quicker and quicker as time goes on—is what futurist Ray Kurzweil calls human history’s Law of Accelerating Returns.
This happens because more advanced societies have the ability to progress at a faster they’re more advanced.